Today was Day 1 of the Gartner Symposium ITxpo in Orlando, Florida. In a keynote address, Gartner’s Peter Sondegaard made the statement that most enterprises won’t consider updating their PC operating systems until at least 2016. He said there is no compelling business reason to update sooner. Four years. In today’s age, that’s a lifetime.
If you think that’s just Gartner that has this position, in a TechCrunch article just out today, Forrester stated that the switch to Windows 8 won’t take place for two more years. Two years. That’s half a lifetime.
Consider this, as recently as two years ago, Blackberry dominated the business smartphone market. Today, they struggle to survive as they watch their market share plummet.
Microsoft, it seems, has missed the window where the world decided that mobile and tablet are excellent alternatives to a fixed PC. They were probably two years too late in getting Windows 8 out the door. Even if Microsoft continues to dominate the PC market, what will it matter if the world has turned away from that format?