Forrester peers into next 5 years with 15 predictions

Tom Hanks in BigForrester analyst Brian Hopkins today blogged his Top 15 technology predictions for the next 5 years leading up to 2018. I didn’t find too many rolls of the dice. For many there will be no big surprises; Mobile (tops the class for disruption), Social, Cloud, Big Data but here Brian splits the pack down further into a number of key categories:

  • End User Computing Technologies
  • Sensors and Remote Computing Technologies
  • Process Data Management Technologies
  • Infrastructure and Application Platforms

End user computing technologies

Brian expects computing capabilities to expand into new areas that improve collaboration, providing a richer, personalized mobile experience, so the inclusion of gesture-based UI and human-centric controls is of no surprise here. Expect more Kinect style interfaces and OEM hacks. Personally I’d like to see more 3D/ AR virtualization of interfaces coming to the fore. It’s no leap of the imagination to consider holographic interfaces if we’re looking 5 years into the future. Brian also includes advanced (hyper-) collaboration factors in this category for contextual real-time at the right time data to users.

Sensors and remote computing technologies

According to Brian, technologies will emerge which will enable “more information collection and processing outside of data centers, extending the boundary of businesses’ digital realms”. For this he calls out smart products, location-aware devices and Machine-to-Machine (M2M) technology, which is the Internet of (every)Things to everyone else.

Process data management technologies

This will be of most interest to the BPM crowd I expect, it’s Forrester’s call on intelligent and adaptable process management and enables “more value from more data, more quickly and more cheaply.” Here he references ‘Smart Process Apps’ which are built for people and continuous change, a new class of Adaptive Case Management in a way. Sadly for me this is merely just lip service, it smells too much like playing to the larger BPM vendors who build on application platforms which aren’t smart and certainly not cheap.

Forrester really needs to concentrate on newer technologies such as Citrix’s Podio suite as the next generation of ‘smart process apps’.

Infrastructure and application platforms

This is the realm of the Big Data, Data Center and Cloud predictions. There’s nothing eye-opening here and there’s a missing piece in-memory data and grid/ parallel processing via the Internet of Things. I think there’s a missed opportunity for Forrester to predict a bit bigger and foretell something new.

Brian ends by stating that clients get “blindsided by emerging technology opportunities or failing to avoid disruptive threats. They further admit that getting caught unaware hurts.” however to be brutally honest there’s nothing here that hasn’t been discussed before and if you’re still being caught unaware in 5 years time by these predictions you have to ask yourself if you should be in the position you currently occupy.

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Categories: Cloud / SaaS / PaaS, Consumerization, Data Analytics / Big Data, Disruption, Infrastructure, Internet of Things, Mobility, Tech Strategy

Author:Theo Priestley

"I had more creative ideas from Theo in 6 months than I have had in 6 years from most people." Theo Priestley is one of the most recognised independent technology industry influencers and evangelists, ranking in the Top 100 thought leaders across Virtual/ Augmented Reality, FinTech, Artificial Intelligence, Big Data, Internet of Things and future trends. Theo has written insights for Forbes, Wired, The European Magazine, Venturebeat to name a few, and has been interviewed for many online publications including the BBC on his thoughts on technology and the future. A regular paid keynote speaker and panelist at conferences and events, Theo is engaged for his forthright views and isn't afraid to challenge conventional thinking and the marketing hype surrounding the industry when presenting, never pulling punches to get the message across on how technology can be applied to improve business and the customer experience. He has also successfully organised and run TEDx and Ignite events. Highly active across social networks, he sits in the Top 1% for social media engagement on Kred and Klout and is constantly sharing articles and his analysis that he feels his audience would be interested in. Theo is also active in the startup community, mentoring within UK and US accelerators and sits on a number of advisory boards. Former VP and Chief Technology Evangelist at a Top 25 European enterprise software company with a career spanning both innovation strategy and delivery of software and business change in Financial Services, and as an independent technology industry analyst. Follow Theo on Twitter @tprstly or connect here directly for constant insights on tech and marketing trends. • Top 1% Influencer on Kred (915) • Top 1% Influencer on Klout (70+) • 12,000+ Followers on LinkedIn • 13,000+ Followers on Twitter • Recognised Top Influencer in AI, Virtual/ Augmented Reality, Fintech, IOT and Wearable Tech, Big Data and Analytics.

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2 Comments on “Forrester peers into next 5 years with 15 predictions”

  1. Frank M.
    February 11, 2013 at 10:17 am #

    “…a missed opportunity for Forrester to predict a bit bigger and foretell something new…”
    May be there is nothing there to predict. Or do we confuse predictions with wishful thinking these days?

    • February 11, 2013 at 10:25 am #

      Analysts will tell you to buy a faster horse when they should have predicted the car. Industry is constrained by people who don’t inject a little wishful thinking.

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